Sitemap - 2014 - Bet On It

The Evidence of Altruism

The Meaning of Tolerance

The Competitive Sieve and the Burden of Proof

Why Florida Is My Favorite State

Outsourced to Scott Alexander

The Moral Case for Fossil Fuels: Recap

The Moral Case for Fossil Fuels: Refining the Case

The Man of One Study

The Moral Case for Fossil Fuels: We Can Live With Warming

The Inanity of the Welfare State

The Moral Case for Fossil Fuels: We Owe Civilization to Fossil Fuels

The Moral Case for Fossil Fuels: The Thesis

An Awkward Question About Blurred Consent

Krugman's Cursory Case Against Open Borders

Rape Culture or Nationalist Culture?

Who to Fear

The Puzzling Idealism of the Geneva Convention

The Backward State of Behavioral Political Economy

Thank Obama for All He's Done

Immigration Charity Prospect

The Lawful Neutral Case for Deferred Action

On the Complexity of the World

A Nice Quote for Obama's Immigration Address

The Bottom Line on DACA

Intertemporal Corruption

Bechhofer Immigration Bet

The Margins of Moral Weaseling

A Judgmental Typology

The Presumptive Puritan

Imprisoning Immigrants

How Many People Does the War on Drugs Put in Prison?

Two Tullock Stories

Crime, Education, and the NLSY: The Role of the Sheepskin Effect

Me in NYC on Thursday

Gordon Tullock, 1922-2014

Crime, Education, and the NLSY: The Role of Ability Bias

Two Skeptical Questions About State Capacity

Does Identity Politics Pay?

The Identity of Shame

Emigration and Citizenism

Read Scott Alexander

Compulsory Attendance IVs Reconsidered

Imagining the Proto-Blogosphere

Crime and Sheepskins

Ebola Bet Followup

Ebola Bet

Preferences in The Warriors

Fixed Costs and Open Borders

The Grand Budapest Hotel's Sublime Apology

Ebola and Open Borders

Prosecuting Truancy

An Odd A Priori Argument Against Private Education

Diseases of Poverty: Neglecting the Obvious

The Bribes of Columbus

Conservative Relativism

Risk Analysis in One Lesson

Getting a B.A. and Living With Your Parents

Aging Out of Addiction

Rojas on Marijuana Legalization

The Ultimate Incivility

Pious Thinking

Why is the Right Soft on Education?

Social Security: The Inside Story

The Welfare State as Extended Warranty

Social Desirability Bias and Abortion

Social Desirability Bias and Abortion

The Puzzling Ubiquity of Disability

How High Is Schools' Implicit Land Rent?

Tribal Desire

The Universal Citizenist

Implicit Rent and the True Cost of Education Bleg

The Logic of Gilensian Activism

Open Borders: My Vox Interview

A Szaszian Take on Conformity Signaling

Silent Citizenism

First Cut

Why Subsidize Signaling? An Open Letter to Catherine Rampell

Where I Dissent from Nathan Smith

What Every High School Junior Should Know About Going to College

Yellen is a Good Keynesian

How to Teach the Income and Substitution Effects

Against Winning

Against Winning

Meteorological Impossibilities

Why Do Government Enterprises Work So Well?

Look-Alikes Don't Look Like Identical Twins

Mencken's Appeasement

The Sweet Spot of Freedom

The Veil of Implausibility

Education Bet Update

What's the Use of Crying Over Spilled Blood?

Practical Guidance for Prudent Students

Tolerance Before Empathy

Our Poverty and Theirs

The Ethics of Individualism

Haidt and the Moral Foundations of the Welfare State

Machismo vs. Appeasement

The Fiscal Prognosis

The Quantum Leap of Logic

Common Sense: As True As It Seems

My Life of Appeasement

Lame Excuses: What's Wrong With the Adversarial System

Immigrants Are Good for Cosmopolitan Tolerance

What Do Constitutions Do? Star Trek Edition

Huemer's Moderation

A Non-Conformist's Guide to Success in a Conformist World

The Economist on Overparenting

Evolution and Moral Intuition

What to Learn from The Catcher in the Rye

Some Empirics of Moral Philosophy

Scott's Utilitarian Leniency

The Argument from Conscience

The Argument from Conscience

Endogenous Sexism Explained

Endogenous Sexism

Trillion Dollar Bills on the Sidewalk: The Borjas Critique

Your Big Doubts About the 10,000 Hour Rule Are Well-Founded

Voluntary-but Bossy-Socialism

What Is Tyler Smoking?

Ownership for Cartoonishly Nice People

Do Credential Scandals Support the Signaling Model?

Free Intentions

The Weak-Willed Do-Gooder

"A Bet Disconcerts Him": Kant on Betting and Beliefs

How I Teach When I Really Want My Students to Learn

21 Short Claims About Political Motivation

Liberal Authoritarianism

Why Does High-Pressure Salesmanship Work?

The Economist: Give Tetlock Final Cut

Evaluating The Arab Spring: What Would Tetlock Say?

A Hardy Weed: How Traditionalists Underestimate Western Civ

Some Questions About Partisan Expulsion

Embarrass Me Now, Please

Huemer's "The Use of Hypothetical Examples"

When Do Hypotheticals Cover Their Cost?

The Missing Arguments

Dear Reader Almost Passes the Ideological Turing Test

The Stockpile Solution

Is the Social Security Tax Cap Disappearing?

Bauman Climate Bet

Bauman Climate Bet Bleg

Cartoon Introduction to Climate Change: My Reservations Illustrated

Data Challenge: "Full-Time, Year-Round Workers" Can Be Briefly Unemployed?

Cartoon Introduction to Climate Change: Pollution Taxes Illustrated

Cartoon Introduction to Climate Change: Experimental vs. Observational Studies Illustrated

Data Challenge: Can "Full-Time, Year-Round Workers" Be Unemployed?

Myth of the Rational Voter: The Complete Animated Series

Why Sailer Scares

The Fungible Kidney

Unemployment Insurance Bleg

A Eugenic Experiment

Dear Nationalism

Frank on Phony Credentials

Cartoon Introduction to Climate Change: Yoram's Last Word

Frankly Signaling

Lind's Challenge for Progressives

Economism and Immigration

Talking More to Mark Krikorian

Myth of the Rational Voter: The Animated Series, Part 4

Myth of the Rational Voter: The Animated Series, Part 3

Cartoon Introduction to Climate Change: Rejoinder to Yoram Bauman

How People Get Good at Their Jobs

The Improvident Rich

Bauman Responds on The Cartoon Introduction to Climate Change

Myth of the Rational Voter: The Animated Series, Part 2

The Cartoon Introduction to Climate Change

Exploring Elitist Democracy: The Latest from Gilens and Page

Me, Gilens, and Salon

"Hollowing Out": A Global Perspective

Myth of the Rational Voter: The Animated Series

Meant for Each Other: Open Borders and Western Civilization

Three Graphs About Trying and Failing

My Moment with Gary Becker

Demagoguery Explained

Demagoguery Explained

What If Firms Could Opt Out of Sexual Harassment Law?

Ayn Rand in the Happy Lab

Cowen and Crisis Reconsidered

Too Many

"The 'liquidity trap' only is a mental constraint in the heads of central bankers."

George R.R. Martin's Pacifist Tendencies

Talking to Mark Krikorian

Crazy Immigration

America Should Open Its Borders: My Opening Statement for the Reason Immigration Debate

Social Desirability Bias: How Psych Can Salvage Econo-Cynicism

Social Desirability Bias: How Psych Can Salvage Econo-Cynicism

Tuesday Immigration Debate

Tourists Welcome

I've Won My TARP Bet

Try Harder or Do Something Easier?

Smoking, Social Desirability Bias, and Dark Matter

Civil Disobedience: King versus Huemer

Divorce and Motivated Reasoning in the WaPo

Kids and Happiness: The State of the Art

Crude Self-Interest: Why Kids Go to College

The Impolitic Wisdom of Simon Kuznets

The Righteous Scofflaw

The Righteous Scofflaw

The Ghetto of Talent

Water Runs Downhill, and School Is Boring

Is Welfare a Band-Aid for Nominal Wage Rigidity?

Answering Arnold's Challenge

You Don't Know the Best Way to Deal with Russia

The Market for Less

A British Perspective on American Signaling

The Swamping that Wasn't: The Diaspora Dynamics of the Puerto Rican Open Borders Experiment

How Diabolical is Unz's Proposal?

Socialism Was Born Bad: The Case of Oskar Lange

The Worst They Can Do

Question for Scott

Open Borders Day Roundup

A Curiously Uncurious Interview: The Nation, Unz, the Minimum Wage, and Immigration

Would (Our) Open Borders Lead to (Their) Closed Borders?

The Marital Return to Education: An Epiphany

Open Borders Day is Starting

Immigration: My Eyes Work Fine

1896: Immigration and The Atlantic

Being Sendhil Mullainathan

Optometry Challenge

Value of Self-Rated Health Bleg

What Does Public Schooling Teach Us About Predatory Pricing?

Blame the Republicans

40 Years on the Status Treadmill

Poverty: The Stages of Blame Applied

Poverty: The Stages of Blame

The Happiness of the Richest

The Principal Doctrines of Epicurus: Friendliness, Social Intelligence, and the Bubble

Ukrainian Prediction Challenge

What Say You? The Intuitive Case Against the Minimum Wage

Wolfers Responds on Happiness

Crude Materialism versus the Wolfers Equation

The Singaporean Path to Cosmopolitanism

How Welfare Hurts Walmart

The Minimum Wage vs. Welfare: Band-Aid or Salt?

Ambition Revisited

Desert versus Identity

My Cato Address to Students for Liberty

Ballparking the Marital Return to College

Lenin the Prohibitionist

What Bad Students Know that Good Economists Don't

Evolutionary Psychology on Crusonia

The Futility of Quarreling When There Is No Surplus to Divide

What the Swiss Vote Really Shows

A Question of Organizational Literacy

Bias and Bigness Bleg

How Rival Marriage Is

AMA Highlights

Diasporas, Swamping, and Open Borders Abolitionism

Obituary Hypothetical: What If Mengele Cured Cancer?

Ask Me Anything Tonight

Meet James Schneider

Gochenour-Nowrasteh on the Political Externalities of Immigration

I'm Too Busy Fighting Tyranny to Feed My Family

Self-Harm is a Luxury

In Praise of Passivity

Pritchett on Private vs. Government Schools

Liability, Disclaimers, and Adverse Selection

Schooling Ain't Learning, But It Is Money

Predicting the Popularity of Obvious Methods

Mandela and Communist Villainy

Correction on Mandela

Mandela: Reckless But Lucky

Colonialism and Anti-Colonialism: Blame Nationalism for Both

Colonialism and Anti-Colonialism: Blame Nationalism for Both

Why So High? Economics and the Value of Life

Drowning Redheads is Wrong Even Though Water is Wet

The Prudence of the Poor

The Discipline of Dismissal

Sitting on an Ocean of Hypotheticals

How Rival Is Your Marriage?

Sitting on an Ocean of Talent

What's Wrong With IVs? [wonkish]

Self-Help: The Obvious Remedy for Academic Malemployment

Is Average Over?: Two Equivocal Graphs

The Orange Moon

Tell Me How It Feels to Be a Bad Student

Employment and the Return to Education: The Right Way to Count

Will on Somin on Judicial Review

Tell Me What "Average Is Over" Looks Like